Sporting Covilha 0-2 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 69%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.19
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-2
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 got the better of Sporting Covilha 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 43% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 57%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Felgueiras 1932?

Sporting Covilha 0-2 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 19%, draw 22%, Felgueiras 1932 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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