Felgueiras 1932 2-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.33/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.19
-11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 beat Sporting Covilha 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 56% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 44%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Sporting Covilha?

Felgueiras 1932 2-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 56%, draw 26%, Sporting Covilha 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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