Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 26%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.64/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.44
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2026 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
26.10.2025 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 0-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
0-1
AWAY Caldas
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas nicked a narrow win over Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitano Évora 1911 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 59% of the ball to Caldas's 41%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 1.00 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?

Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 52%, draw 24%, Caldas 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
7 Mar 2026
18:00 Amora FC vs Atletico CP Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro Analysis →
21:00 Varzim vs Academica Analysis →