Caldas 2-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.81/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
-39% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
2-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas nicked a narrow win over Lusitano Évora 1911 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Caldas had 61% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 39%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Caldas 2-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caldas 41%, draw 26%, Lusitano Évora 1911 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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