Dezembro 0-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.06/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.04
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
1W-2D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 CF Os Belenenses 2-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
15.02.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 3-1 HT 1-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
09.11.2024 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
10.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
0-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses nicked a narrow win over Dezembro 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Dezembro had 54% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 46%, shots finished 4-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dezembro and 1.00 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs CF Os Belenenses?

Dezembro 0-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 28%, draw 24%, CF Os Belenenses 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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