Uniao Santarem 1-2 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.74/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-42% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mafra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2022 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-2
AWAY Mafra
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra edged past Uniao Santarem 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 37% of the ball to Mafra's 63%, shots finished 3-19.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Mafra?

Uniao Santarem 1-2 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 41%, draw 27%, Mafra 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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