Sanjoanense 3-3 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 39%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.64/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Varzim
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-2 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
28.09.2024 Varzim Varzim 3-0 HT 2-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
21.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
08.10.2023 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
27.01.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
08.10.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
3-3
AWAY Varzim
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Varzim shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 58% of the ball to Varzim's 42%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.67 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Varzim?

Sanjoanense 3-3 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 36%, draw 29%, Varzim 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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