CF Os Belenenses 2-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.77/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.25
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Dezembro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 3-1 HT 1-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
09.11.2024 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
10.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2-0
AWAY Dezembro
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses saw off Dezembro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 49% of the ball to Dezembro's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dezembro led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.33 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro?

CF Os Belenenses 2-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 42%, draw 31%, Dezembro 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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