Sporting CP II 2-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.05/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.13
+66% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
06.12.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
25.08.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
08.12.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
26.08.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
22.03.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-1
AWAY Atletico CP
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II squeezed past Atletico CP 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 50% of the ball to Atletico CP's 50%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting CP II and 0.83 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Atletico CP?

Sporting CP II 2-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 41%, draw 26%, Atletico CP 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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