Ayutthaya United 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

Ayutthaya United
0-1 HT 0-1
Nakhon Ratchasima
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayutthaya United v Nakhon Ratchasima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 21%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
0.87/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.48
-76% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.4 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayutthaya United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.45 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 10
266 Passes 186
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United TAY

Ayutthaya United 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayutthaya United
0-1
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
0.94 xG 0.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 142
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima edged past Ayutthaya United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ayutthaya United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ayutthaya United had 63% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 37%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.40 — on chances, Ayutthaya United could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Ayutthaya United 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayutthaya United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ayutthaya United 53%, draw 25%, Nakhon Ratchasima 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ayutthaya United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayutthaya United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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