Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ayutthaya United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Ratchasima v Ayutthaya United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Ratchasima 0-1 Ayutthaya United — Actual Match Statistics
Ayutthaya United nicked a narrow win over Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ayutthaya United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 43% of the ball to Ayutthaya United's 57%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 0.77 to 2.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ayutthaya United's control.
What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ayutthaya United?
Nakhon Ratchasima 0-1 Ayutthaya United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ayutthaya United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 40%, draw 22%, Ayutthaya United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima), BTTS Yes went the other way.