Kanchanaburi 1-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.46/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.74
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +134%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
198 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
14.0 Crosses 15.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanchanaburi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayong FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.03.2024 Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanchanaburi
1-1
AWAY Rayong FC
0.67 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
177 Passes 317
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kanchanaburi vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanchanaburi and Rayong FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kanchanaburi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kanchanaburi had 42% of the ball to Rayong FC's 58%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.67 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Kanchanaburi vs Rayong FC?

Kanchanaburi 1-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanchanaburi vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanchanaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kanchanaburi 44%, draw 23%, Rayong FC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kanchanaburi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kanchanaburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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