Lamphun Warrior 2-2 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.03/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.87
-15% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.8 Crosses 14.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Uthai Thani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
203 Passes 415
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2025 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-1 HT 0-1 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
11.08.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
13.05.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-2 HT 0-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
2-2
AWAY Uthai Thani
2.28 xG 0.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
347 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior and Uthai Thani couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 53% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 47%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.28 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 1.00 for Uthai Thani.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?

Lamphun Warrior 2-2 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 43%, draw 24%, Uthai Thani 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✗ Under 2.5
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