Sukhothai 2-1 Chonburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chonburi EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.87/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
+28% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
22.5 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Chonburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 0.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
190 Passes 389
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
29.10.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 1-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
2-1
AWAY Chonburi
0.96 xG 0.94
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
229 Passes 410
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Chonburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai squeezed past Chonburi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Sukhothai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sukhothai had 38% of the ball to Chonburi's 62%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.96 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sukhothai had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sukhothai and 0.50 for Chonburi.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Chonburi?

Sukhothai 2-1 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Chonburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 37%, draw 26%, Chonburi 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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