Rayong FC 2-1 Kanchanaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.33/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.18
-9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.6 Crosses 24.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kanchanaburi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
317 Passes 177
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi 1-1 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
09.03.2024 Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi 0-2 HT 0-1 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
2-1
AWAY Kanchanaburi
1.17 xG 2.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
276 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Kanchanaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC edged past Kanchanaburi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayong FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rayong FC had 55% of the ball to Kanchanaburi's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.17 to 2.24 — on chances, Kanchanaburi could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayong FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayong FC and 0.50 for Kanchanaburi.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Kanchanaburi?

Rayong FC 2-1 Kanchanaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Kanchanaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 47%, draw 24%, Kanchanaburi 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayong FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayong FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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