Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aston Villa v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa took care of Bournemouth 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Aston Villa had 56% of the ball to Bournemouth's 44%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.51 to 1.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aston Villa and 1.67 for Bournemouth.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Result & Final Score
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 53%, draw 23%, Bournemouth 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.