Crystal Palace 5-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

Crystal Palace
5-2 HT 4-1
West Ham United
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.89
X/2
9%
6.67
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.64
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.43/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.64
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.5 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
2W-2D-2L
AWAY West Ham United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.39 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
423 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
29.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4-3 HT 3-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
06.11.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
01.01.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-3 HT 0-3 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
28.08.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.01.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-3 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Crystal Palace 5-2 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
5-2
AWAY West Ham United
2.36 xG 1.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
555 Passes 336
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace cruised past West Ham United 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 61% of the ball to West Ham United's 39%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.36 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.17 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs West Ham United?

Crystal Palace 5-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 42%, draw 27%, West Ham United 32%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
21 Apr 2024
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