Almeria vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Almeria
İS1
0-2
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS1
8-0
HT 4-0
Almeria
İSPK
3-3
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İSPK
0-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
Almeria 1-2 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal squeezed past Almeria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Almeria had 57% of the ball to Villarreal's 43%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.84 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Almeria and 2.83 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Villarreal?
Almeria 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Almeria 29%, draw 27%, Villarreal 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.