Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 21 Apr 2024

Getafe
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Sociedad
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Getafe vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
5.99
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
21%
4.39
X/X
12%
3.46
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.23
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.04
-33% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.7 Crosses 16.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Getafe vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.31
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
191 Passes 406
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-3 HT 1-2 Getafe Getafe İS1
08.04.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
11.09.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
23.01.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.10.2021 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
14.02.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.54 xG 1.19
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
200 Passes 351
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe and Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 40% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 60%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.54 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Getafe and 1.50 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Real Sociedad?

Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Getafe 27%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
21 Apr 2024
17:15 Almeria vs Villarreal Analysis →
19:30 Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Analysis →
22:00 Real Madrid vs Barcelona Analysis →