Hapoel Eran Hadera 2-2 Ashdod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashdod EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.28/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.66
-28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
14.4 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ashdod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
278 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 HT 1-1 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
30.09.2023 Ashdod Ashdod 0-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
2-2
AWAY Ashdod
0.96 xG 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
287 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera and Ashdod couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 54% of the ball to Ashdod's 46%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Eran Hadera had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hapoel Eran Hadera and 0.50 for Ashdod.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 2-2 Ashdod in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Ashdod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ashdod win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 29%, draw 32%, Ashdod 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ashdod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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