Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.93/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/0.56
-24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.1 Crosses 19.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.00 xG 1.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.01.2024 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 2-2 HT 2-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
02.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 HT 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0-2
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
0.99 xG 2.42
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
188 Passes 407
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beitar Jerusalem as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 36% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 64%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 0.99 to 2.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Petah Tikva had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.00 for Beitar Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beitar Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 25%, draw 27%, Beitar Jerusalem 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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