Beitar Jerusalem 2-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.45
2-3 Goals
48%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
7%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.4pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.54/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.17
+9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.3 Crosses 22.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beitar Jerusalem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 0.64
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
503 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 HT 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beitar Jerusalem
2-2
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.97 xG 3.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
265 Passes 380
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 31
POST-MATCH Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Petah Tikva shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beitar Jerusalem at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Beitar Jerusalem had 44% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 56%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.97 to 3.36.

What was the final score of Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Beitar Jerusalem 2-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beitar Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Beitar Jerusalem 52%, draw 19%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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