Maccabi Netanya 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.73/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.23
-10% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
13.4 Crosses 18.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
317 Passes 290
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
13.08.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
0-1
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
1.70 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
314 Passes 138
72% Pass Accuracy 50%
41 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bnei Sakhnin squeezed past Maccabi Netanya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Netanya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 63% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 37%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.70 to 0.54 — on chances, Maccabi Netanya could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Netanya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maccabi Netanya and 0.50 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Maccabi Netanya 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 41%, draw 29%, Bnei Sakhnin 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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