Ashdod 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 30 Jan 2024

Ashdod
1-0 HT 1-0
Maccabi Bnei Raina
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.58
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
11%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ashdod v Maccabi Bnei Raina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashdod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.09/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.60
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
13.9 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashdod
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.19 xG 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
408 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 0-0 HT 0-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR

Ashdod 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashdod
1-0
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.64 xG 0.44
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
192 Passes 481
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashdod edged past Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Bnei Raina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ashdod had 32% of the ball to Maccabi Bnei Raina's 68%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.64 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Ashdod 1-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashdod vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Bnei Raina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 35%, draw 24%, Maccabi Bnei Raina 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Bnei Raina), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Bnei Raina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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