Sampdoria (K) 1-3 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.66/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.70
+23% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +47%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.4
16.0 Crosses 26.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.66 xG 2.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 10
139 Passes 279
57% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-3
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.61 xG 3.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 6
249 Passes 349
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 49
18 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) saw off Sampdoria (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 43% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 57%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 0.61 to 3.33.

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-3 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 24%, draw 23%, AC Milan (K) 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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