Hansa Rostock 0-2 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.84
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.04
X/2
12%
5.47
X/X
14%
5.04
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.38/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.49
-33% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
22.3 Crosses 12.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 1.92
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
145 Passes 505
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
02.04.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
17.09.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-1 HT 2-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
10.04.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
25.11.2020 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
09.06.2020 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-1 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
0-2
AWAY Magdeburg
0.41 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
307 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg got the better of Hansa Rostock 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Magdeburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 54% of the ball to Magdeburg's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.41 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Magdeburg?

Hansa Rostock 0-2 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 36%, draw 28%, Magdeburg 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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