Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
41%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
44%
-14.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
41%
Away Win
27%
+14.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.62/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
+27% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
04.06.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
11.10.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
17.06.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-2 HT 0-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors squeezed past Agropecuario Argentino 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Agropecuario Argentino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.33 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 29%, draw 29%, Agropecuario Argentino 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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