Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Chaco For Ever — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.2pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -12%
1.19/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.60
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chaco For Ever
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
08.10.2023 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
27.05.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
30.04.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 3-2 HT 0-1 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn edged past Chaco For Ever 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.67 for Chaco For Ever.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Chaco For Ever in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 45%, draw 34%, Chaco For Ever 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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