Club Atletico Mitre 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -14%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.92
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 3-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
28.08.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
21.04.2021 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 1-2 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Mitre vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza squeezed past Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Club Atletico Mitre at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Club Atletico Mitre and 1.67 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Mitre vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Club Atletico Mitre 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Mitre vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Mitre 44%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Mendoza 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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