Melhus 1-3 Stabaek II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.4pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.97
-51% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melhus
1-3
AWAY Stabaek II
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek II got the better of Melhus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Melhus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Melhus had 36% of the ball to Stabaek II's 64%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Stabaek II?

Melhus 1-3 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Stabaek II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Melhus 44%, draw 22%, Stabaek II 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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