Rosenborg II 5-3 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 37%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.63
+92% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II beat Lilleström II 5-3. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (43% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rosenborg II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Lilleström II?

Rosenborg II 5-3 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 43%, draw 19%, Lilleström II 39%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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