Stromsgodset II 2-1 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
23%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.94
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.4pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
9%
+13.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.7pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.6pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
4.13/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset II
2-1
AWAY Surnadal
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset II vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II edged past Surnadal 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stromsgodset II as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset II had 62% of the ball to Surnadal's 38%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset II vs Surnadal?

Stromsgodset II 2-1 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset II vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset II 60%, draw 17%, Surnadal 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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