Academico Viseu 0-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 21 Apr 2024

Academico Viseu
0-1 HT 0-1
Mafra
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Academico Viseu vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academico Viseu v Mafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.23
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Academico Viseu vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mafra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
12.03.2023 Mafra Mafra 2-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.09.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-0 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
30.01.2022 Mafra Mafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
22.08.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-3 HT 0-2 Mafra Mafra POR2
07.02.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-0 HT 2-0 Mafra Mafra POR2

Academico Viseu 0-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
0-1
AWAY Mafra
0.40 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
311 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra squeezed past Academico Viseu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mafra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 53% of the ball to Mafra's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.40 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.00 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Mafra?

Academico Viseu 0-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 40%, draw 26%, Mafra 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academico Viseu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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