Gençlerbirliği 2-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.36
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
10%
6.53
X/X
11%
3.7
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
16%
5.5
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.44/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.23
-9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.1 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
269 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
07.05.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
11.12.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
08.05.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
14.12.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
07.04.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.69 xG 0.85
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
146 Passes 404
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği saw off Erzurumspor FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gençlerbirliği as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 33% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 67%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.69 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.17 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK?

Gençlerbirliği 2-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 41%, draw 27%, Erzurumspor FK 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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