Guiseley 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.82/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.42
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
22.08.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 HT 3-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity beat Guiseley 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guiseley and 1.33 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Guiseley 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 46%, draw 24%, Gainsborough Trinity 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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