Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.0pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.35/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.47
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guiseley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
22.08.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 HT 3-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
11.11.2014 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İCON
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley beat Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Guiseley made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.00 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 33%, draw 35%, Guiseley 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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