Ilkeston Town vs Matlock Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilkeston Town v Matlock Town — Team-Based Signals
Ilkeston Town vs Matlock Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Matlock Town
İNGNLP
Ilkeston Town 1-1 Matlock Town — Actual Match Statistics
Ilkeston Town and Matlock Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Ilkeston Town had 56% of the ball to Matlock Town's 44%, shots finished 16-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Matlock Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ilkeston Town and 2.00 for Matlock Town.
What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Matlock Town?
Ilkeston Town 1-1 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Matlock Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 38%, draw 27%, Matlock Town 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.