Lancaster City 1-4 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.19/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
-22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
288 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
26.12.2024 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-3 HT 1-2 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
01.04.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 2-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bamber Bridge ran out comfortable winners over Lancaster City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Bamber Bridge made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lancaster City and 1.67 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge?

Lancaster City 1-4 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 37%, draw 25%, Bamber Bridge 37%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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