Bamber Bridge 2-3 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.86/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.46
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bamber Bridge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lancaster City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 2-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
27.12.2021 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City edged past Bamber Bridge 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lancaster City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bamber Bridge and 1.17 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City?

Bamber Bridge 2-3 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bamber Bridge win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bamber Bridge 36%, draw 31%, Lancaster City 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bamber Bridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bamber Bridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
26 Dec 2024
00:00 Mickleover Sports vs Ashton United Analysis →
16:00 Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town Analysis →
16:00 Winchester City vs AFC Totton Analysis →
16:00 Sholing vs Wimborne Town Analysis →
16:00 Leiston vs Lowestoft Town Analysis →
16:00 AFC Sudbury vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →