Morpeth Town vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morpeth Town v Workington — Team-Based Signals
Morpeth Town vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Workington
İNGNLP
Morpeth Town 1-0 Workington — Actual Match Statistics
Morpeth Town squeezed past Workington 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Morpeth Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Morpeth Town had 57% of the ball to Workington's 43%, shots finished 18-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.75 for Workington.
What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Workington?
Morpeth Town 1-0 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Workington?
Before kick-off our model rated an Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 33%, draw 29%, Workington 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.