Workington vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Workington v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Workington vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Workington
İNGNLP
Workington and Morpeth Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Workington at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Workington and 2.00 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Workington 2-2 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Workington 44%, draw 27%, Morpeth Town 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Workington), BTTS No went the other way.