Tottenham 1-2 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.15
Over Pick
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.14
2-3
38%
1.87
4-5
25%
2.96
6+
14%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.3
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
11.85
X/1
11%
5.75
X/2
11%
6.68
X/X
15%
5.05
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
15%
4.19
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.83/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.12
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +61%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.1 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
469 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
07.04.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
15.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
11.03.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
09.11.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK
28.08.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
1-2
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.14 xG 0.48
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
465 Passes 165
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
43 Box Touches 4
52 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest squeezed past Tottenham 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tottenham had 70% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 30%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.14 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tottenham.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tottenham and 0.83 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest?

Tottenham 1-2 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 41%, draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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