Djurgarden 0-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.74
Over
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.97
2-3
41%
1.82
4-5
19%
4.11
6+
9%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.82
X/2
12%
7.11
X/X
14%
4.35
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
11%
5.44
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.3 — our 9% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.70
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
26.9 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
2W-2D-2L
AWAY GAIS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
452 Passes 357
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 38
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 GAIS GAIS 3-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.10.2012 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
11.04.2012 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
07.08.2011 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.04.2011 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
0-0
AWAY GAIS
0.94 xG 0.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
480 Passes 394
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden and GAIS played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Djurgarden had 55% of the ball to GAIS's 45%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.94 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Djurgarden and 1.17 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs GAIS?

Djurgarden 0-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 42%, draw 29%, GAIS 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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