GAIS 3-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 22 Sep 2024

GAIS
3-0 HT 1-0
Djurgarden
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

GAIS vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.13
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
18%
5.7
X/2
14%
5.09
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.53
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 42%
+19% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.74/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
+46% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.4 Crosses 18.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

GAIS vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.10.2012 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
11.04.2012 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
07.08.2011 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.04.2011 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
27.08.2010 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

GAIS 3-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
3-0
AWAY Djurgarden
1.25 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
357 Passes 452
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS cruised past Djurgarden 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; GAIS found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 45% of the ball to Djurgarden's 55%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.25 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for GAIS and 1.33 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Djurgarden?

GAIS 3-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split GAIS 37%, draw 27%, Djurgarden 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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