IFK Varnamo 2-0 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 22 Sep 2024

IFK Varnamo
2-0 HT 2-0
Vasteras SK FK
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.19
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
8%
6.28
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
18%
4.37
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.29/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.30
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
16.9 Crosses 21.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

IFK Varnamo vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.06 xG 2.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
317 Passes 529
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
30.09.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-2 HT 3-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
17.05.2021 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
18.09.2011 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-3 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
08.05.2011 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-2 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2

IFK Varnamo 2-0 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
2-0
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.75 xG 0.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
277 Passes 422
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo got the better of Vasteras SK FK 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Varnamo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 41% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 59%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.75 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.40 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Vasteras SK FK?

IFK Varnamo 2-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 41%, draw 25%, Vasteras SK FK 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Varnamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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