Malmö FF 4-0 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 22 Sep 2024

Malmö FF
4-0 HT 1-0
Hacken
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Malmö FF vs Hacken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.74
2-3 Goals
42%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
11%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.75
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
6%
12.5
X/X
11%
7.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.7
2/2
9%
8.04
2/X
6%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.7 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Hacken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.83/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.65
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.7 Crosses 13.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Malmö FF vs Hacken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hacken
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.07 xG 1.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
494 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.05.2024 Hacken Hacken 2-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
05.11.2023 Hacken Hacken 4-2 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
21.05.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
23.10.2022 Hacken Hacken 2-1 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
22.05.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
20.11.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ

Malmö FF 4-0 Hacken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
4-0
AWAY Hacken
1.76 xG 0.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 383
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Hacken 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Malmö FF had 49% of the ball to Hacken's 51%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.76 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malmö FF and 2.33 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Hacken?

Malmö FF 4-0 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 57%, draw 21%, Hacken 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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