Rosario Central 3-0 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.74
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
18%
4.46
X/2
7%
7.37
X/X
17%
3.5
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
10%
6.52
2/X
5%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -23%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.6 Crosses 20.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.96 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
227 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
10.03.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
25.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
04.06.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-1 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
20.02.2006 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.09.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
3-0
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
3.41 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
288 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central swept aside Instituto Cordoba 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 49% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 51%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.41 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosario Central and 0.17 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Instituto Cordoba?

Rosario Central 3-0 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 47%, draw 29%, Instituto Cordoba 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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