CA Sarmiento 0-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
13%
8.02
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
5.79
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
6%
6.42
X/2
16%
4.8
X/X
22%
2.95
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.74
2/X
4%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
+0.7pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
-0.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.7pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.08/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.20
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +63%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.0 Crosses 20.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Platense
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.64 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
218 Passes 262
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
14.04.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
26.11.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
09.07.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.02.2022 Platense Platense 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-1
AWAY Platense
0.92 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
271 Passes 250
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense edged past CA Sarmiento 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Platense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 52% of the ball to Platense's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.92 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.83 for Platense.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Platense?

CA Sarmiento 0-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 32%, draw 33%, Platense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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