CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 17%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.98
-38% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
02.12.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-3 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
07.08.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-3
AWAY Hebar 1918
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebar 1918 saw off CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA 1948 Sofia at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 61% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 39%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.00 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 58%, draw 18%, Hebar 1918 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5
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