Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 70%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.30/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.48
+57% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +89%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-3 HT 1-2 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
04.05.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past Septemvri Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 20%, draw 28%, Levski Sofia 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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